The 2025 MTV Video Music Awards take place tonight at New York’s UBS Arena. Hosted by LL Cool J, the ceremony features a star-studded lineup of performers, including Lady Gaga, Doja Cat, Tate McRae, Post Malone, Conan Gray, Jelly Roll, Sabrina Carpenter, Alex Warren, J Balvin, DJ Snake, Ricky Martin, Busta Rhymes, and Sombr.
Lady Gaga leads this year’s nominations with 12, followed closely by Bruno Mars with 11 and Kendrick Lamar with 10. Among the most anticipated awards are Best Collaboration, Best Pop, and Best Pop Artist. Here are our predictions for who could take home these categories.
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BEST COLLABORATION & BEST POP
Winner: “Die With a Smile” by Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars
Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars are expected to sweep this year’s VMAs with their massive collaboration. “Die With a Smile,” already our frontrunner for Song of the Year, will likely claim both Best Collaboration and Best Pop. Since both categories are fan-voted, Gaga and Bruno’s huge global fanbases give them a strong edge.
For Best Collaboration, ROSÉ and Bruno’s “APT.” could challenge, while Kendrick Lamar and SZA’s “Luther” is also in contention.
• Strong contenders (Best Collaboration): “Luther” by Kendrick Lamar & SZA, “APT.” by ROSÉ & Bruno Mars
• Strong contenders (Best Pop): “APT.” by ROSÉ & Bruno Mars, “Manchild” by Sabrina Carpenter, “Ordinary” by Alex Warren, “Brighter Days Ahead” by Ariana Grande
BEST POP ARTIST
Winner: Ariana Grande
Despite securing 12 nominations, Lady Gaga was surprisingly left out of the Best Pop Artist category. This year’s lineup is almost entirely female, with Justin Bieber as the only male nominee. Our frontrunner is Ariana Grande, who had an excellent Eternal Sunshine era, capped off by the Brighter Days Ahead edition.
• Strong contenders: Sabrina Carpenter, Tate McRae
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